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Huge Dump in Bitcoin’s Price May Not be Evident Again

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Veteran Venture Capitalist Predicts Bitcoin Will Fall to $0-$500 And Eventually Be Replaced

Bitcoin has exhibited a pattern in the past which can be said to be booms and busts in its price. There have also been similarities between the percentage of increment and decrement between certain years.

However, Bitcoin may not decline by 85 percent as is evident in the past, reports Bloomberg on June 13, 2019.

Similarities in Bitcoin’s Performance in the Past

Per the report, Bitcoin surged from $0 in 2009 to almost $150 in 2013 but later dumped 60 percent in price only to rebound to $1,150. In 2015, it declined by 85 percent to $175 which is considerably higher than its price in 2013. Similarly, it surged to $20,000 in late 2017 only to dump by over 85 percent in December 2018.

Therefore, if one considers the pattern, they can expect a sharp rise in the virtual asset’s price between $60,000 to $400,000 before it also dumps by 85 percent. While that may sound pessimistic, there are reasons to believe that the spike and sudden crash in price will not be the case this time around. So far, Bitcoin is currently trading at $8,600 and its year-to-date high is $9100.

Reasons Bust Percentage May be Lower

On the other hand, the previous performance might not be evident since Bitcoin’s market cap is not $152 billion which is larger than its $1 billion and $3 billion market cap in 2013 and 2015 respectively. Moreover, more people have ventured into space as well as companies. An instance is the case of JP Morgan who launched its own cryptocurrency.

Nonetheless, crashes can still be expected since volatility is prevalent even in crypto assets that have no value. However, they may not be as significant as in the past where the dump amounted to 80 percent. What can be expected, is something around 20 percent or less.

Bitcoin’s Options Market

While throwing more light on what may have led to its conclusion, Bloomberg made reference to the Bitcoin options market. According to the media, when cryptocurrencies prices in late 2017 were similar to what’s happening today, the $10,000 one-month Bitcoin calls had an active trading and implied volatility of 300 percent.

The latter meant paying $2,200 just for the right to buy Bitcoin at $10,000 when its price is $8,000. Another factor that was a consideration is the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 Index.

Generally, crypto assets correlate with the index due to their performance in good economic times with support for innovation and inexpensive capital.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Consumes More Power Annually Than Switzerland, A Study At Cambridge University Reveals

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Bitcoin Consumes More Power Annually Than Switzerland, A Study At Cambridge University Reveals

The recent price upheaval seen in cryptocurrencies has been the hot topic in the cryptocurrency community. Crypto traders and investors have had a rough couple of days as this volatile market keeps shifting by the day.

At press time though, most cryptocurrencies, led by bitcoin seem to have struck a purple patch as they are recording small gains over the last 24 hours.

However, at the University of Cambridge, a certain group of researchers have been busy developing an index that computes the amount of electricity used by the bitcoin network.

This online tool indicates that the bitcoin network consumes more electricity than Switzerland. This revelation has left many in shock. 

It is not the first time we’ve heard bitcoin and Switzerland in the same sentence. Not so long ago, a lot of conversations have sprung up concerning the correlation between the price of bitcoin and Swiss franc, Switzerland’s fiat currency. Now with the ongoing economic uncertainties, bitcoin has been recognized as a safe haven by investors alongside Swiss franc.

Bitcoin’s Energy Consumption Exceeds That of An Entire Nation

This time around, the conversation is centered on bitcoin’s electricity consumption. This research was prompted by concerns over the impact of bitcoin mining on the environment.

Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance at the University of Cambridge developed an index known as Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) to calculate the amount of electricity that powers bitcoin in real-time then calculating annual power usage.

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Bitcoin

The Crypto Whale that Triggered an 8.5% Dip in Bitcoin (BTC) Prices

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A Bitfinex investor staked a 20,000 bitcoins short order and gambled that BTC prices would slide in the near term. Within a fortnight, the BTC price dropped to $10, 765 from a whopping $11,900. After a span of a few hours, the valuation of the crypto market fell by over $20 billion.

Market experts have been wondering whether a quick upward recovery is even possible. Some analysts, like the incredible – Josh Rager were quite skeptical if the price of BTC went below $11, 500. Below this point could prompt even a further drop from $10, 000.

Whale movements seem to be key influencers in the price movements of crypto markets. Where the effect on the market is not rapid sales of crypto assets (Let’s say BTC); the trivial effect is maybe a dip in the prices and market capitalization.

Minor corrections of Bitcoin markets has resulted in the declining power of top crypto assets against the pair of BTC/USD. Litecoin had recorded a 5% rise against the U.S dollar during the weekend but has dropped by 5%. Other crypto assets that have slid by an average of more than 5% include, Ethereum, EOS, Bitcoin cash, and Binance Coin.

Experts predict the 8.5% BTC drop was a result of technical factors. The large short contract created panic among many retail investors. As a result, they end up selling their assets and pulling down the market. It was such an abrupt drop, however, experts believe a bullish fundamental catalyst still exists around the market. This bullish expectation, they predict could improve sentiments within crypto markets. 

Analysts identified  a generally positive trend for BTC from factors such as; 

  • Opening of trading venues such as Bakkt and Fidelity in the second quarter of 2019
  • The gradual increase in retail investment
  • Rising institutional interest

Short term traders are however skeptical and remain wary of the declining trend of bitcoin prices. An extended correction of market insights forecast that crypto assets tend to follow the bitcoin movement. Therefore, illustrating intensified markets moving both to the upside and the downside.

However, some traders are very optimistic and have spotted positive medium-term indicators in the monthly BTC trend. Despite the fact, investors did not expect an abrupt pullback in the magnitude of 8.5%. Investors have faith that pullbacks are quite necessary for the stabilizing of crypto market foundations.

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